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Polymarket wallet 0xa2995ed8847fc9c35d201e81b043d5cfe24f91a8 · on Polymarket since Nov 4, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,055 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,815 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$297 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,495 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,159 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 272d | US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $31 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $0 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $0 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $0 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $0 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $0 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $0 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 274d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 279d | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 279d | US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 285d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $46 |
| 285d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 285d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 285d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $4 |
| 488d | Will the Iranian regime fall before July? | BuyYes5¢ | $297 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.