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Polymarket wallet 0xa49ae1a928aa3109c210047c079c970eb11c12bc · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2026 · also shown as Equal-Walnut
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.5% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | BuyYes95¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | BuyYes97¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | BuyYes99¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | BuyYes95¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | BuyYes97¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | BuyYes98¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | BuyYes95¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | BuyYes97¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2? | BuyYes99¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | BuyYes99¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.