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Polymarket wallet 0xa4f83ad21e467ad0db567964b900fce916608308 · on Polymarket since Feb 9, 2026 · also shown as Formal-Marmalade
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,740 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,084 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 689 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,370 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 39d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $7 |
| 39d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $29 |
| 129d | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $18 |
| 129d | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $15 |
| 257d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 257d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | SellYes3¢ | $20 |
| 257d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.