Stephan420

Polymarket wallet 0xa54756cbeb1b49e412b881aed5dc5144949b4a15 · on Polymarket since Mar 4, 2026 · also shown as Alarmed-Formula

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$240
Volume traded: $9.57K
All-time rank: #2,846,855
Markets traded: 302
Recent hit rate: 78%39 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	135	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	51	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	32	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	28	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	45	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	44	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	24	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	32	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	404	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	38	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	44	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	14	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	54	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	15	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	14	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	22	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	21	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	22	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	15	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	27	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	400	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	12	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	25	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
120d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BuyUp31¢	$1
120d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	BuyUp12¢	$2
120d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	BuyDown9¢	$1
120d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	SellDown99¢	$3
120d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	BuyDown29¢	$1
120d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyUp3¢	$1
120d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyUp6¢	$1
120d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyUp25¢	$1
129d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	BuyDown4¢	$1
129d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	SellUp68¢	$1
129d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	BuyUp54¢	$1
130d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	BuyUp77¢	$2
130d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	SellYes1¢	$1
130d	Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?	SellYes6¢	$3
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	BuyDown41¢	$2
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	BuyUp57¢	$4
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	BuyUp72¢	$4
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	BuyDown63¢	$1
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	BuyDown70¢	$2
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	BuyUp46¢	$4
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	BuyUp44¢	$4
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$4
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	BuyUp59¢	$10
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	BuyUp32¢	$4
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	SellUp31¢	$3
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	BuyUp26¢	$3
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	BuyUp42¢	$3
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	BuyDown45¢	$1
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	BuyDown37¢	$3
131d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	BuyUp56¢	$7
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	BuyDown44¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	SellUp77¢	$4
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	BuyUp38¢	$2
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	BuyUp43¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$2
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	BuyUp59¢	$2
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	BuyDown34¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	BuyUp48¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	BuyUp43¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	BuyUp46¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	BuyUp39¢	$2
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	BuyUp31¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyUp34¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BuyDown60¢	$5
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	SellDown99¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	BuyDown93¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	BuyDown41¢	$5
132d	Will Solana reach $80 June 8-14?	SellYes1¢	$2
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$2
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	SellUp96¢	$2
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	SellDown54¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	BuyDown38¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	SellUp90¢	$22
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	BuyUp81¢	$20
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	SellDown76¢	$1
132d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	BuyDown55¢	$1
133d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	SellUp99¢	$2
133d	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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