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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 196 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 383 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 221 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 871 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 265 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,751 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$429 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 267d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo9¢ | $404 |
| 268d | Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026? | BuyNo14¢ | $6 |
| 268d | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in January 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $6 |
| 268d | Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $12 |
| 268d | Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $23 |
| 268d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo6¢ | $25 |
| 268d | Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 268d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes4¢ | $34 |
| 273d | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January? | BuyNo13¢ | $10 |
| 273d | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January? | BuyNo1¢ | $9 |
| 273d | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 273d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $8 |
| 273d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $12 |
| 273d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $12 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.