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Polymarket wallet 0xa6002f77cefbc92794c93bb5c5134fc074cb39e6 · on Polymarket since Feb 23, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +57% |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 170 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 282 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 210d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $10 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BuyDown63¢ | $1 |
| 232d | US forces enter Iran by March 3? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 232d | US forces enter Iran by March 1? | SellYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 232d | US forces enter Iran by March 1? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 232d | Ethereum Up or Down on March 1? | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 232d | US forces enter Iran by March 3? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 237d | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BuyDown7¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $5 |
| 237d | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.