KiruaTrading

Polymarket wallet 0xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954 · on Polymarket since Dec 22, 2025 · also shown as Judicious-Lunchmeat

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $17K
All-time profit: +$20.3K
Volume traded: $1.6M
All-time rank: #7,850
Markets traded: 806
Recent hit rate: 70%35 of last 50 closed

Open positions

75 markets · $17K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d	No	8,468	13¢ → 75¢	$6,351	+$5,250 +477%
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	No	2,873	81¢ → >99¢	$2,872	+$535 +23%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d	Yes	2,324	24¢ → 40¢	$918	+$352 +62%
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	No	816	52¢ → >99¢	$816	+$396 +94%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d	No	916	54¢ → 82¢	$750	+$257 +52%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d	No	791	60¢ → 74¢	$582	+$109 +23%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d	No	320	87¢ → 95¢	$304	+$27 +9.7%
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	No	252	68¢ → >99¢	$251	+$80 +47%
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended	Yes	284	73¢ → 70¢	$197	−$10 −4.8%
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	200	92¢ → 93¢	$185	+$1 +0.5%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d	Yes	256	34¢ → 72¢	$184	+$98 +114%
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	184	92¢ → 98¢	$181	+$12 +7.4%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 6d	No	520	24¢ → 34¢	$174	+$49 +40%
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	156	85¢ → >99¢	$155	+$22 +16%
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	178	87¢ → 87¢	$155	+$0 +0.1%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.0 – 8.1?Ends in 80d	No	165	68¢ → 93¢	$153	+$40 +35%
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	150	68¢ → 97¢	$145	+$44 +43%
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	178	27¢ → 77¢	$137	+$89 +185%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	170	42¢ → 77¢	$131	+$60 +85%
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	200	65¢ → 65¢	$130	$0 0.0%
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 13d	Yes	207	47¢ → 58¢	$120	+$23 +24%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d	Yes	995	11¢ → 12¢	$114	+$4 +3.3%
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d	Yes	164	57¢ → 68¢	$111	+$17 +18%
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	112	86¢ → 95¢	$107	+$10 +9.8%
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	Yes	270	18¢ → 37¢	$99	+$50 +103%
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	100	95¢ → 99¢	$99	+$4 +3.7%
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	100	95¢ → 98¢	$98	+$3 +3.5%
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	No	160	69¢ → 60¢	$96	−$14 −13%
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	100	93¢ → 94¢	$94	+$1 +1.1%
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	100	91¢ → 91¢	$91	$0 0.0%
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	100	87¢ → 91¢	$91	+$4 +4.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	1,000	26¢ → 9¢	$90	−$170 −65%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d	No	100	52¢ → 82¢	$82	+$30 +59%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d	No	235	15¢ → 31¢	$72	+$36 +103%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	Yes	2,722	17¢ → 3¢	$71	−$388 −85%
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	80	82¢ → 81¢	$65	−$1 −1.5%
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	Yes	2,045	11¢ → 3¢	$62	−$155 −71%
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	70	85¢ → 89¢	$62	+$3 +4.7%
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d	Yes	100	30¢ → 59¢	$59	+$29 +95%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 13d	No	74	51¢ → 68¢	$50	+$13 +34%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d	Yes	80	54¢ → 63¢	$50	+$7 +16%
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	No	50	46¢ → >99¢	$50	+$27 +117%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?Ends in 80d	Yes	339	7¢ → 13¢	$42	+$18 +77%
Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	1,375	29¢ → 3¢	$36	−$368 −91%
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	40	87¢ → 88¢	$35	+$0 +0.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 74d	Yes	131	39¢ → 23¢	$31	−$20 −39%
Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	30	97¢ → 99¢	$29	+$1 +2.1%
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	No	30	84¢ → 92¢	$28	+$2 +9.5%
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	25	85¢ → >99¢	$25	+$4 +17%
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	21	78¢ → 92¢	$19	+$3 +17%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 13d	Yes	57	6¢ → 32¢	$18	+$15 +452%
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	Yes	33	42¢ → 42¢	$14	−$0 −1.7%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Ends in 80d	No	42	26¢ → 30¢	$12	+$2 +15%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 9.0 or above?Ends in 80d	Yes	234	23¢ → 5¢	$11	−$44 −79%
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 101d	No	25	70¢ → 43¢	$11	−$7 −39%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	Yes	80	11¢ → 13¢	$10	+$1 +14%
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	Yes	128	11¢ → 6¢	$8	−$7 −46%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended	Yes	27	37¢ → 25¢	$7	−$3 −34%
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	34	16¢ → 18¢	$6	+$1 +11%
Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	190	45¢ → 3¢	$5	−$81 −94%
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 101d	Yes	20	55¢ → 26¢	$5	−$6 −54%
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	Yes	25	20¢ → 17¢	$4	−$1 −14%
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 7d	Yes	7	26¢ → 25¢	$2	−$0 −5.8%
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 101d	Yes	7	12¢ → 11¢	$1	−$0 −13%
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	7	23¢ → 5¢	$0	−$1 −78%
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	Yes	435	11¢ → <1¢	$0	−$47 −100%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.6 – 8.7?Ends in 80d	Yes	5	0¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.4 – 8.5?Ends in 80d	Yes	13	5¢ → 1¢	$0	−$1 −85%
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 8h	Yes	60	11¢ → <1¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	264	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$71 −100%
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	49	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	250	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$31 −100%
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Settled - ready to redeem	No	388	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$33 −100%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	189	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$64 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
2h	Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?	SellNo25¢	$12
3h	Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?	SellNo25¢	$2
10h	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes17¢	$2
14h	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	SellNo72¢	$4
14h	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes21¢	$2
14h	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes20¢	$7
14h	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes20¢	$8
15h	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes18¢	$11
15h	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes18¢	$2
15h	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes20¢	$15
20h	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes11¢	$4
20h	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes11¢	$2
20h	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes11¢	$2
23h	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo69¢	$115
23h	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	SellYes31¢	$49
23h	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes23¢	$3
23h	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	SellNo77¢	$226
1d	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo80¢	$8
1d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	SellNo86¢	$374
1d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	SellNo85¢	$404
1d	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo86¢	$2
1d	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes40¢	$4
1d	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo73¢	$46
1d	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo84¢	$6
1d	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes43¢	$9
1d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo30¢	$58
1d	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	SellYes10¢	$3
1d	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	BuyNo90¢	$18
1d	Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	SellYes6¢	$3
1d	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes17¢	$0
1d	Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?	SellNo26¢	$24
1d	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo84¢	$19
1d	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo82¢	$16
1d	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo84¢	$6
1d	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo87¢	$62
1d	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo85¢	$43
1d	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	SellNo34¢	$5
1d	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	SellNo83¢	$1
2d	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo81¢	$16
2d	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo85¢	$17
2d	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo87¢	$35
2d	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo87¢	$87
2d	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes44¢	$2
2d	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo87¢	$87
2d	Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?	SellNo27¢	$55
2d	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo83¢	$17
2d	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo65¢	$65
2d	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo92¢	$92
2d	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes26¢	$1
2d	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes26¢	$1
2d	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyYes26¢	$0
2d	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo91¢	$91
2d	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo83¢	$17
2d	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo95¢	$95
2d	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo93¢	$93
2d	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo95¢	$95
2d	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo92¢	$92
2d	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo65¢	$65
2d	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	BuyNo92¢	$35
2d	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	SellNo85¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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