1256105

Polymarket wallet 0xa806475a16dd8be04b25724b6b00617314ed74cb · on Polymarket since Feb 10, 2026 · also shown as Lonely-Raffle

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$4.14K
Volume traded: $57.4K
All-time rank: #3,176,140
Markets traded: 168
Recent hit rate: 56%28 of last 50 closed

Open positions

71 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	821	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$263 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,755	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,394 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,236	81¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,808 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
233d	Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	SellNo35¢	$439
238d	US strikes Iraq by February 28?	SellNo47¢	$47
238d	Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	SellYes77¢	$77
238d	US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BuyNo30¢	$30
238d	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BuyNo32¢	$262
238d	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BuyNo32¢	$1
238d	US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SellNo>99¢	$292
239d	US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$125
239d	US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$9
239d	US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$10
239d	Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	SellNo97¢	$144
239d	US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$124
239d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 23-March 1?	SellNo98¢	$10
239d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 February 23-March 1?	SellNo>99¢	$113
239d	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BuyNo75¢	$26
239d	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BuyNo75¢	$300
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo71¢	$284
239d	Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?	SellNo97¢	$467
239d	Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$80
239d	GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	SellNo97¢	$6
239d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?	SellNo>99¢	$13
239d	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?	SellNo99¢	$41
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo75¢	$201
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo75¢	$4
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo72¢	$3
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo72¢	$93
239d	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BuyNo73¢	$12
239d	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BuyNo73¢	$141
239d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SellNo99¢	$455
239d	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BuyNo77¢	$81
239d	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BuyNo77¢	$4
239d	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BuyNo83¢	$830
239d	Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SellNo92¢	$916
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo82¢	$402
239d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 February 23-March 1?	SellNo100¢	$399
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo84¢	$168
239d	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?	SellNo99¢	$88
239d	Will BNB dip to $400 in February?	SellNo99¢	$21
239d	Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$55
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$9
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$196
239d	Will BNB reach $800 in February?	SellNo100¢	$30
239d	Will BNB dip to $400 in February?	SellNo>99¢	$178
239d	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BuyNo90¢	$450
240d	US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$246
240d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BuyNo99¢	$79
240d	Will BNB dip to $400 in February?	BuyNo98¢	$20
240d	GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	BuyNo86¢	$5
240d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BuyNo99¢	$376
240d	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?	BuyYes>99¢	$100
240d	Will BNB dip to $400 in February?	BuyNo100¢	$179
240d	Will BNB reach $800 in February?	BuyNo99¢	$30
240d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 23-March 1?	BuyNo99¢	$10
240d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 February 23-March 1?	BuyNo100¢	$19
240d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 February 23-March 1?	BuyNo>99¢	$494
240d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?	BuyNo99¢	$13
240d	No release by March 1	BuyNo98¢	$98
240d	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?	BuyNo98¢	$128
240d	US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$196
240d	Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$81

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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