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Polymarket wallet 0xa82c2a03b1e56477e6bd3d94960a557d252c525d · on Polymarket since Oct 30, 2025 · also shown as Crafty-Warren
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 196 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 196 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 196 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 196 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 347d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $100 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $100 |
| 353d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $100 |
| 354d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $100 |
| 355d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $100 |
| 357d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $100 |
| 357d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $100 |
| 358d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $100 |
| 358d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $100 |
| 358d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $20 |
| 358d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $20 |
| 358d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | SellDown46¢ | $18 |
| 358d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.