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Polymarket wallet 0xa9c50977340481be42d8f1aae4483f07f0439223 · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026 · also shown as High-Level-Icing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SellYes49¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | SellYes6¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes50¢ | $12 |
| 284d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 4PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $3 |
| 284d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 4PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 284d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes46¢ | $1 |
| 284d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 284d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.