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Polymarket wallet 0xabaf2a1ad8b2639625a49dabc378867f8007c860 · on Polymarket since Jan 25, 2025 · also shown as Tough-Watermelon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the RSF capture Kadugli by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes6¢ | $6 |
| 222d | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | BuyNo58¢ | $3 |
| 223d | Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31? | SellYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 223d | Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31? | SellYes1¢ | $0 |
| 233d | NATO Article 5 by March 31? | SellYes9¢ | $3 |
| 271d | NATO Article 5 by March 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will the RSF capture Kadugli by January 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 273d | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-24? | BuyYes45¢ | $2 |
| 273d | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | BuyYes13¢ | $7 |
| 276d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.