lux-oren

Polymarket wallet 0xabce7f51a7ade663d9e1a326d5f11159aec4bff1 · on Polymarket since Feb 5, 2026 · also shown as Pleased-People

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $29.7
All-time profit: −$69.2
Volume traded: $8.98K
All-time rank: #2,521,300
Markets traded: 707
Recent hit rate: 28%14 of last 50 closed

Open positions

5 markets · $29.7

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Tetairoa McMillan finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 95d	Yes	20	23¢ → 50¢	$10	+$5 +118%
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	34¢ → 100¢	$10	+$7 +194%
Will 3DMAX qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Ends in 81d	Yes	40	15¢ → 24¢	$10	+$4 +60%
Solana Up or Down - September 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	47	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
19d	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	SellYes43¢	$6
19d	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	SellYes43¢	$2
19d	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	SellYes17¢	$3
19d	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	SellYes76¢	$15
19d	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	SellNo14¢	$3
19d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	SellYes13¢	$3
21d	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	BuyYes75¢	$15
21d	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	BuyNo24¢	$5
21d	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	SellNo12¢	$2
21d	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	BuyNo24¢	$1
21d	Will 3DMAX qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$2
21d	Will 3DMAX qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$4
21d	Will Eagles D/ST finish as a top-12 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	SellNo61¢	$12
22d	Will Eagles D/ST finish as a top-12 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	BuyNo82¢	$16
22d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	SellNo53¢	$11
22d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo50¢	$10
22d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	SellNo48¢	$10
22d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo50¢	$10
22d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	SellNo42¢	$8
22d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	SellNo37¢	$7
22d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo51¢	$10
22d	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo57¢	$11
22d	Will Tetairoa McMillan finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	BuyYes23¢	$2
22d	Will Tetairoa McMillan finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	BuyYes23¢	$3
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	BuyYes27¢	$5
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	SellYes31¢	$6
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	SellYes31¢	$6
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	BuyYes22¢	$4
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	SellYes26¢	$5
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	SellYes28¢	$0
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	BuyYes24¢	$4
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	SellYes19¢	$4
22d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	BuyYes23¢	$5
23d	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes34¢	$3
23d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	BuyYes24¢	$5
23d	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	BuyYes25¢	$3
23d	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	BuyYes21¢	$4
23d	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	BuyYes81¢	$16
23d	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	BuyNo13¢	$3
27d	Solana Up or Down - September 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	BuyDown15¢	$3
216d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyUp43¢	$4
216d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyUp52¢	$4
216d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyUp8¢	$1
216d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$4
216d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	BuyUp2¢	$0
217d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	BuyUp20¢	$2
217d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	BuyUp1¢	$0
218d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp56¢	$5
218d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BuyUp46¢	$4
218d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$0
218d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	BuyUp58¢	$1
218d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	BuyUp58¢	$4
223d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	BuyUp8¢	$1
223d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	BuyUp57¢	$5
224d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	BuyUp60¢	$2
224d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	BuyUp60¢	$3
224d	Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BuyUp52¢	$4
224d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	BuyUp60¢	$5
224d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	BuyUp10¢	$1
224d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	BuyUp32¢	$3

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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