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Polymarket wallet 0xacc13bf8c20f1a77d826d0f652cd93dd3b8c3dd5 · on Polymarket since Jul 3, 2024 · also shown as Odd-Conservative
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 633 | 8¢ → 100¢ | $633 | +$583 +1166% |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 81 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $81 | +$33 +67% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 365 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 813d | Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | BuyYes8¢ | $50 |
| 814d | Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | SellYes6¢ | $59 |
| 820d | JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? | BuyYes14¢ | $50 |
| 820d | Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | BuyYes5¢ | $51 |
| 823d | Biden drops out of presidential race? | SellYes>99¢ | $999 |
| 823d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellYes82¢ | $152 |
| 823d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellYes82¢ | $12 |
| 841d | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | SellNo60¢ | $30 |
| 841d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyYes38¢ | $76 |
| 841d | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BuyYes68¢ | $680 |
| 841d | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyNo60¢ | $79 |
| 841d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.