bravenewboy

Polymarket wallet 0xad4afaf77149d47d79541b88c09ba54b5687ddb8 · on Polymarket since Jan 31, 2025 · also shown as Exemplary-Scarification

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $6.7
All-time profit: −$2.15K
Volume traded: $1.14M
All-time rank: #3,136,649
Markets traded: 4,471
Recent hit rate: 66%33 of last 50 closed

Open positions

4 markets · $6.7

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d	No	10	89¢ → 63¢	$6	−$3 −30%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d	Yes	80	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Joe Pyfer be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	7	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	6	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
108d	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	BuyNo76¢	$250
205d	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?	SellYes<1¢	$0
208d	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	SellYes61¢	$107
218d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$2
218d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
218d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
218d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$1
218d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
218d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
218d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
218d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$2
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$1
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$2
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
219d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$1
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$6
220d	Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyNo2¢	$19
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes2¢	$22
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes2¢	$1
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes2¢	$0
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes2¢	$5
220d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$1
221d	Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyNo2¢	$1
221d	Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyNo2¢	$5
221d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$4
221d	Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyNo2¢	$5
221d	Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyYes1¢	$1
221d	Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?	BuyNo2¢	$0
236d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SellNo59¢	$29
236d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SellNo59¢	$18
236d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BuyNo58¢	$12
236d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BuyNo58¢	$12
236d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BuyNo59¢	$12
236d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BuyNo59¢	$12
236d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SellNo60¢	$18
236d	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SellNo60¢	$6

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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