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Polymarket wallet 0xadf104258a679d3469d380233c91b52024f69b2c · on Polymarket since Jun 3, 2024 · also shown as Steep-Artificer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US military action against Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$4 +33% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $5 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes58¢ | $15 |
| 492d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August? | BuyYes32¢ | $10 |
| 492d | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes75¢ | $11 |
| 492d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyYes58¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.