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Polymarket wallet 0xae8f1098a6b506bc26c8467d6c15fb15ca0b7654 · on Polymarket since Feb 17, 2026 · also shown as Crisp-Fir
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,306 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,153 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $926 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $227 |
| 237d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $577 |
| 245d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3,664 |
| 245d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 1AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $273 |
| 245d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 1AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3,058 |
| 245d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 1AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,014 |
| 247d | Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) | BuyClippers47¢ | $1,414 |
| 247d | Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder47¢ | $689 |
| 247d | Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder47¢ | $1,055 |
| 247d | Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder47¢ | $67 |
| 247d | Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder47¢ | $213 |
| 247d | Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder47¢ | $51 |
| 247d | Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder47¢ | $277 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $184 |
| 248d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $358 |
| 248d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $958 |
| 248d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $758 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.