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Polymarket wallet 0xaf48f8d7e05115732b1408af571637bd54b42c78 · on Polymarket since Dec 1, 2025 · also shown as Hopeful-Policeman
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - December 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 206 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 188 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 4, 5AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 202 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143d | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | BuyNo96¢ | $45 |
| 323d | XRP Up or Down - December 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $103 |
| 323d | Solana Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $4 |
| 323d | Solana Up or Down - December 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $89 |
| 323d | XRP Up or Down - December 4, 5AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $8 |
| 323d | XRP Up or Down - December 4, 5AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $94 |
| 324d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $5 |
| 324d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $102 |
| 324d | Solana Up or Down - December 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $87 |
| 324d | Solana Up or Down - December 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $90 |
| 325d | Solana Up or Down - December 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $100 |
| 325d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $94 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 9AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 325d | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 9AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $94 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.