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Polymarket wallet 0xaf4c4778e5276ebf0a8d9e4f380551a5d3005153 · on Polymarket since Mar 8, 2026 · also shown as Shiny-Grin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 78 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 222d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SellNo66¢ | $6 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $74 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BuyDown7¢ | $1 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | SellDown>99¢ | $10 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $10 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | SellDown99¢ | $1 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BuyDown91¢ | $1 |
| 228d | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BuyNo85¢ | $59 |
| 228d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyNo59¢ | $5 |
| 228d | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BuyNo85¢ | $5 |
| 228d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.