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Polymarket wallet 0xafa6ca27fe95c89e3fa5ba83dc4c5359e8a0410a · on Polymarket since Feb 22, 2026 · also shown as Expert-Deformation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$1 +100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$1 +100% |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SellNo76¢ | $1 |
| 234d | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | SellNo37¢ | $0 |
| 235d | Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | SellNo67¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SellNo83¢ | $0 |
| 243d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? | SellUp47¢ | $0 |
| 243d | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | SellYes14¢ | $0 |
| 243d | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SellNo25¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.