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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 91 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 161 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET | BuyDown83¢ | $11 |
| 173d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET | SellUp88¢ | $10 |
| 173d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET | BuyUp84¢ | $10 |
| 173d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET | SellDown55¢ | $48 |
| 173d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET | BuyDown77¢ | $71 |
| 173d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp84¢ | $71 |
| 173d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET | BuyUp78¢ | $58 |
| 174d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET | BuyDown82¢ | $49 |
| 175d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1? | BuyUp99¢ | $18 |
| 175d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1? | BuyUp75¢ | $25 |
| 176d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyDown88¢ | $22 |
| 176d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp67¢ | $15 |
| 179d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28? | BuyUp61¢ | $56 |
| 179d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28? | BuyUp60¢ | $98 |
| 179d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27? | BuyUp55¢ | $10 |
| 179d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27? | BuyUp66¢ | $10 |
| 181d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27? | BuyDown74¢ | $12 |
| 184d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp77¢ | $9 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.