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Polymarket wallet 0xb03a5a47fbf7225be84afc4b62c9ca1c385467e1 · on Polymarket since Apr 17, 2026 · also shown as Muddy-Danger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +176% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 190 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 469 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 182d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BuyYes38¢ | $2 |
| 190d | Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1AM ET | SellDown84¢ | $2 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BuyDown61¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BuyDown65¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12AM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18? | BuyYes35¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 18? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Will Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.