| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 140 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 235 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 21 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,216 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$286 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,025 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 95 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 54 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 53 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 119 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,474 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 250 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 57 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 142 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 185 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 63 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 444 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 227 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 132 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 294 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 192 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 48 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 176 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 42 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 56 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 333 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 16 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 217 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 68 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 86 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 488 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,413 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$920 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 199 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 27 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 508 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 120 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 147 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 70 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 674 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 84 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 22 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,632 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 278 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 91 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 79 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 83 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 235 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 676 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 121 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 37 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 232 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 86 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,421 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$611 −100% |
