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Polymarket wallet 0xb1ddae70662c2dc85c85e4d29b518ac954fc4669 · on Polymarket since Mar 17, 2026 · also shown as Defiant-Engine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Sam" or "Altman" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BuyUp66¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SellUp92¢ | $6 |
| 200d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BuyUp95¢ | $6 |
| 210d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BuyUp6¢ | $1 |
| 213d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BuyDown45¢ | $2 |
| 213d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp12¢ | $1 |
| 214d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BuyDown69¢ | $4 |
| 214d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SellDown79¢ | $5 |
| 214d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BuyDown54¢ | $3 |
| 214d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | SellUp96¢ | $5 |
| 214d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BuyUp84¢ | $4 |
| 214d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $0 |
| 216d | Will "Sam" or "Altman" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 216d | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 21? | BuyYes27¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.