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Polymarket wallet 0xb2820bd9d990e4e906b2f16199c8dcfd484b5911 · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 294 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,370 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 271 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,675 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$168 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BuyUp30¢ | $94 |
| 199d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BuyUp33¢ | $94 |
| 276d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $21 |
| 276d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
| 276d | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 276d | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $15 |
| 276d | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $40 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $9 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $100 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $100 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $59 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.