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Polymarket wallet 0xb3753fc539700039601d07739d7e491849b6ba54 · on Polymarket since Dec 18, 2025 · also shown as Pitiful-Shackle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,276 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,009 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 250 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 11,526 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,110 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,123 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 308d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19? | BuyDown4¢ | $7 |
| 308d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19? | BuyDown4¢ | $2 |
| 308d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19? | BuyDown4¢ | $1 |
| 309d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 18? | BuyDown<1¢ | $10 |
| 309d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 18? | BuyDown1¢ | $15 |
| 309d | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $15 |
| 310d | Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 310d | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 310d | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $12 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.