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Polymarket wallet 0xb3e4a98a69fd63db1a4320977f58dd51e526fb45 · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024 · also shown as Genuine-Fate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$25 −78% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 41¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$18 −89% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 30 | 22¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$6 −86% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 96 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 650 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$428 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 396 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 260 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.