Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0xb4851620a782d4c408c740b259bac2752510d68d · on Polymarket since Oct 14, 2025 · also shown as Dense-Flax
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 44¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +127% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 88 | 16¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$12 −86% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BuyUp44¢ | $2 |
| 369d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes95¢ | $2 |
| 375d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $14 |
| 375d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $6 |
| 375d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ | $11 |
| 375d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyNo57¢ | $2 |
| 375d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.