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Polymarket wallet 0xb4871dd4f22a0ab3d5b2a5d436e5a4cdf4b31de8 · on Polymarket since Oct 20, 2025 · also shown as Careful-Runway
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,315 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,158 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,580 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,290 −100% |
| American vs. National: O/U 7.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,050 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6,007 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,004 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 54 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 5 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $28 |
| 83d | Solana Up or Down - August 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $14 |
| 87d | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder50¢ | $3 |
| 87d | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder50¢ | $0 |
| 93d | Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5 | BuyOver50¢ | $3 |
| 100d | Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Los Angeles Knight Riders | BuyLos Angeles Knight Riders47¢ | $3 |
| 103d | American vs. National: O/U 7.5 | BuyOver51¢ | $5 |
| 106d | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 | BuyOver42¢ | $0 |
| 106d | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 | BuyOver42¢ | $2 |
| 367d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $793 |
| 367d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,211 |
| 368d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,050 |
| 368d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,167 |
| 368d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,290 |
| 368d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,158 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.