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Polymarket wallet 0xb4d6278b4c594f359966d89fc6f12192ccc0c62b · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Vain-Certificate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 118 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163d | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BuyNo77¢ | $1 |
| 163d | Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping? | BuyYes27¢ | $3 |
| 288d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET | BuyUp12¢ | $11 |
| 288d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET | BuyUp15¢ | $2 |
| 288d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET | BuyDown86¢ | $4 |
| 288d | XRP Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET | BuyUp14¢ | $1 |
| 288d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET | BuyUp15¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.