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Polymarket wallet 0xb6dbf1048369442838778853373de8c9beef51e9 · on Polymarket since Oct 16, 2024 · also shown as Polished-Capon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,270 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $67 | −$149 −69% |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.