Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0xb74530fa41d35af25ee6eb4132072d02c9f1d445 · on Polymarket since Oct 21, 2026 · also shown as Tinted-Cygnet
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 67d | No | 2,857 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $1,728 | +$15 +0.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 7,918 | 28¢ → 22¢ | $1,702 | −$538 −24% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | No | 2,390 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $1,064 | +$38 +3.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | No | 707 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $371 | −$28 −7.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 36d | No | 500 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $323 | +$18 +5.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,525 | 19¢ → 2¢ | $78 | −$581 −88% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 6,000 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $39 | −$774 −95% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16h | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BuyNo56¢ | $399 |
| 16h | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BuyNo28¢ | $1,358 |
| 17h | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BuyNo60¢ | $1,713 |
| 17h | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BuyNo43¢ | $1,025 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $240 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $0 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $0 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $0 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $59 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $24 |
| 1d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $335 |
| 2d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BuyNo61¢ | $305 |
| 2d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BuyNo29¢ | $882 |
| 2d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BuyNo14¢ | $813 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.