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Polymarket wallet 0xb83b626ae74506b63475468062f3cb8e429520a4 · on Polymarket since Oct 6, 2025 · also shown as Thorny-Stepbrother
I am physician and forensic medicine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 133 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,112 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,231 −100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 243d | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | SellYes13¢ | $12 |
| 243d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SellYes9¢ | $24 |
| 243d | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | SellYes27¢ | $42 |
| 271d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 271d | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | BuyYes37¢ | $57 |
| 271d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes17¢ | $50 |
| 271d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes15¢ | $20 |
| 271d | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes53¢ | $50 |
| 374d | Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $1,171 |
| 375d | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | SellYes3¢ | $1,168 |
| 383d | Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | BuyYes37¢ | $60 |
| 383d | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BuyYes7¢ | $2,500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.