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Polymarket wallet 0xb857826b6300051da8caf6347c63228f8b265864 · on Polymarket since Nov 8, 2024 · also shown as Well-Documented-Strudel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $102 | +$52 +104% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 273 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 616d | Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | BuyYes39¢ | $11 |
| 616d | Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | BuyYes49¢ | $50 |
| 616d | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | BuyYes13¢ | $20 |
| 616d | Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $30 |
| 616d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes34¢ | $50 |
| 616d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes70¢ | $40 |
| 616d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes70¢ | $10 |
| 616d | Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | BuyYes59¢ | $100 |
| 710d | Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? | BuyYes20¢ | $60 |
| 710d | Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? | BuyYes20¢ | $3 |
| 714d | Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | BuyYes14¢ | $20 |
| 714d | Will Biden finish his term? | BuyNo9¢ | $20 |
| 714d | Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | BuyNo4¢ | $10 |
| 714d | Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship? | BuyYes16¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.