maroon-dot

Polymarket wallet 0xb8642af924a98f8d2281949c5c7b0ebf5bbf77f1 · on Polymarket since May 15, 2026 · also shown as Trusty-Chemical

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0.524
All-time profit: −$85.5
Volume traded: $6.34K
All-time rank: #2,576,508
Markets traded: 963
Recent hit rate: 68%34 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $0.524

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d	Yes	44	28¢ → 1¢	$1	−$12 −96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	81¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	7	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	75¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	18	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	12	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1	91¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	83¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	16	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	14	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	75¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	18	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	84¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	22	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
4d	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	SellNo75¢	$15
15d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	SellYes45¢	$1
16d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	SellYes45¢	$9
16d	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	BuyNo75¢	$15
17d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	BuyYes48¢	$10
17d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	SellNo60¢	$8
17d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	SellNo60¢	$12
17d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	SellNo60¢	$0
17d	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	SellYes27¢	$16
17d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo60¢	$3
17d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo60¢	$12
17d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyYes26¢	$5
17d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyYes29¢	$6
17d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyNo72¢	$14
17d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo65¢	$13
17d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo65¢	$7
18d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	BuyYes33¢	$4
18d	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	BuyYes46¢	$9
18d	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	BuyYes44¢	$9
18d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	BuyYes33¢	$7
18d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyYes32¢	$6
18d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyYes33¢	$7
18d	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	BuyNo66¢	$13
18d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	BuyYes30¢	$3
19d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes32¢	$0
19d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyYes34¢	$7
19d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes36¢	$7
19d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo75¢	$15
19d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyYes41¢	$2
19d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyNo65¢	$13
19d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyYes36¢	$7
19d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	BuyNo70¢	$14
19d	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$8
19d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo76¢	$15
19d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	BuyYes34¢	$7
19d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyNo73¢	$15
19d	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	BuyYes39¢	$8
19d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes29¢	$6
19d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	BuyNo71¢	$14
19d	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	BuyNo71¢	$14
19d	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes30¢	$6
19d	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	BuyNo73¢	$15
48d	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	BuyDown79¢	$2
48d	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	BuyUp77¢	$1
49d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	BuyDown64¢	$2
49d	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	BuyUp75¢	$2
50d	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	BuyUp70¢	$1
50d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	BuyUp58¢	$2
51d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	BuyDown70¢	$1
51d	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	BuyDown67¢	$2
52d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	BuyDown61¢	$2
52d	Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	BuyDown81¢	$2
53d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	BuyUp71¢	$2
53d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	BuyDown73¢	$2
53d	Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	BuyDown67¢	$1
56d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	BuyUp65¢	$2
56d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BuyDown69¢	$2
56d	Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BuyDown80¢	$2
56d	Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown64¢	$2
56d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	BuyDown54¢	$2

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.