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Polymarket wallet 0xb86b7a212117581dfe420d7ce253f95fbb9c70b9 · on Polymarket since Jun 20, 2025 · also shown as Dapper-Sake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 17¢ → 100¢ | $60 | +$50 +500% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 54¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$9 +85% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 230 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 59 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $5 |
| 241d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp54¢ | $10 |
| 241d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BuyUp70¢ | $9 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $5 |
| 241d | Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyNo17¢ | $10 |
| 241d | Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyNo9¢ | $10 |
| 270d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo20¢ | $46 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.