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Polymarket wallet 0xb86f4865f591cb4f645c38ce1eaa5353c4277714 · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 122 | 50¢ → 98¢ | $119 | +$58 +96% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $63 | +$32 +100% |
| Knicks vs. SpursSettled - ready to redeem | Knicks | 8 | 37¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$5 +170% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 122 | 50¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$58 −96% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144d | Knicks vs. Spurs | BuyKnicks37¢ | $3 |
| 199d | XRP Up or Down - April 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyUp83¢ | $2 |
| 199d | Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 11PM ET | BuyUp54¢ | $1 |
| 199d | Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 11PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $3 |
| 211d | XRP Up or Down on March 27? | BuyDown46¢ | $2 |
| 232d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | SellNo100¢ | $5,501 |
| 234d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,507 |
| 237d | Ethereum Up or Down on March 1? | BuyUp97¢ | $27 |
| 249d | Solana Up or Down on February 17? | BuyUp82¢ | $7 |
| 285d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes21¢ | $9 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.