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Polymarket wallet 0xb8b8e76960ac66ab958e55b64be7659c716892e1 · on Polymarket since Jan 30, 2026 · also shown as Appropriate-Slime
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $128 | +$18 +16% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 435 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 326 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 244 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 761 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $36 |
| 234d | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyYes33¢ | $250 |
| 234d | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo68¢ | $196 |
| 234d | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo68¢ | $4 |
| 236d | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo85¢ | $250 |
| 236d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $325 |
| 237d | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BuyYes86¢ | $110 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes46¢ | $150 |
| 240d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo92¢ | $400 |
| 241d | Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2? | BuyYes66¢ | $30 |
| 251d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026? | BuyNo61¢ | $200 |
| 257d | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $220 |
| 257d | French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28? | BuyNo82¢ | $200 |
| 266d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ | $24 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.