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Polymarket wallet 0xb8cf968428c5f0d1094ae302687cab315bd397d4 · on Polymarket since Nov 16, 2025 · also shown as Modest-Feng
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 154 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,318 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,659 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,282 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$641 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 88 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $83 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $17 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $25 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $44 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 5PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $77 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $53 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $617 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $660 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $330 |
| 341d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $641 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.