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Polymarket wallet 0xb991638db2e25b2ede0cc51e822e4165bdf4be68 · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2026 · also shown as Noteworthy-Bonsai
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 91 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 38 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 26 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BuyYes4¢ | $2 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyUp52¢ | $20 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BuyUp56¢ | $15 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $15 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $10 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BuyDown34¢ | $8 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BuyUp45¢ | $22 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BuyUp41¢ | $5 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BuyUp43¢ | $10 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyUp65¢ | $5 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BuyDown41¢ | $15 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BuyDown13¢ | $10 |
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BuyDown31¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.