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Polymarket wallet 0xb9e6ed255ad99701114ff22d00d79232e6632d84 · on Polymarket since Jan 28, 2026 · also shown as Eminent-Success
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,004 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 226 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 267d | Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $12 |
| 267d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 267d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $20 |
| 267d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $20 |
| 267d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo50¢ | $100 |
| 268d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
| 268d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
| 268d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyNo<1¢ | $40 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.