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Polymarket wallet 0xbad7827b496ca45bba8c842e4577ee0a1c93bcbb · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2025 · also shown as Sneaky-Fireplace
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4,500 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,250 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 342d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10? | BuyYes99¢ | $7 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $25 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $26 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $26 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $27 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $27 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $4,350 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $18 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 374d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2,250 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,730 |
| 374d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2,200 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,750 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.