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Polymarket wallet 0xbae7a95a46d462007e819bf38af8eb1f40543067 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Scared-Stranger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Montauban win?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 464 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes17¢ | $2 |
| 151d | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | SellYes6¢ | $2 |
| 203d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2 |
| 203d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | SellUp99¢ | $8 |
| 203d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 203d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BuyUp64¢ | $5 |
| 203d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | SellDown99¢ | $6 |
| 203d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BuyDown81¢ | $5 |
| 203d | Will Montauban win? | BuyYes39¢ | $2 |
| 203d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes16¢ | $2 |
| 203d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes13¢ | $4 |
| 275d | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | BuyYes12¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.