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Polymarket wallet 0xbba6b568971e141b40c77edb74d1ff87850e71ef · on Polymarket since Feb 22, 2026 · also shown as Cumbersome-Neonate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | SellYes>99¢ | $10 |
| 243d | Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyYes30¢ | $3 |
| 243d | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 243d | Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
| 243d | Houthi strike on Israel by February 28? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 243d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo8¢ | $1 |
| 243d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 243d | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BuyNo83¢ | $3 |
| 243d | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BuyNo83¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.