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Polymarket wallet 0xbc527976f7870be489411fa0ca133b475cc88137 · on Polymarket since Nov 14, 2025 · also shown as Complicated-Sack
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,698 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$849 −100% |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on December 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,960 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,058 −100% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,885 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$943 −100% |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,565 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$462 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ | $42 |
| 229d | NYA (NYA) Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp32¢ | $813 |
| 229d | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp18¢ | $462 |
| 229d | BNB Up or Down on March 9? | SellDown49¢ | $1,277 |
| 230d | BNB Up or Down on March 9? | BuyDown25¢ | $658 |
| 230d | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BuyXtreme Gaming75¢ | $1,954 |
| 254d | Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on February 12? | BuyUp47¢ | $9 |
| 254d | Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 12? | BuyDown49¢ | $9 |
| 266d | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp57¢ | $10 |
| 266d | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown55¢ | $8 |
| 324d | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on December 4? | BuyUp41¢ | $7 |
| 324d | FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on December 4? | BuyDown29¢ | $5 |
| 343d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 14? | BuyDown54¢ | $1,058 |
| 343d | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 14? | BuyUp50¢ | $943 |
| 344d | Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,000 |
| 344d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $849 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.