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Polymarket wallet 0xbca0f3a273d2912e602895fea6e0764345bc7db3 · on Polymarket since May 3, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 70 | 46¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$28 −88% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 66 | 30¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$18 −88% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$8 −83% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 62 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)Settled - ready to redeem | FK Bodø/Glimt | 44 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio CobolliSettled - ready to redeem | Daniil Medvedev | 13 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Jiujiang: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Rio NoguchiSettled - ready to redeem | Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 8 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43d | 49ers vs. Rams | Buy49ers33¢ | $16 |
| 44d | Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) | BuyFK Bodø/Glimt57¢ | $26 |
| 44d | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BuyUp11¢ | $7 |
| 44d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10? | BuyUp13¢ | $4 |
| 92d | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of July? | SellYes54¢ | $11 |
| 92d | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BuySt. Louis Cardinals18¢ | $5 |
| 92d | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BuyOver63¢ | $40 |
| 92d | Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | BuyClube do Remo65¢ | $15 |
| 93d | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of July? | BuyYes70¢ | $15 |
| 93d | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of July? | BuyYes74¢ | $15 |
| 109d | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5 | Sell64¢ | $37 |
| 109d | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5 | Buy67¢ | $40 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5 | BuyOver5¢ | $5 |
| 109d | Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | SellUnited States92¢ | $86 |
| 109d | Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | BuyUnited States73¢ | $69 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $69 |
| 109d | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BuyNo66¢ | $47 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | SellUnited States53¢ | $47 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BuyUnited States54¢ | $50 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver80¢ | $55 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | SellUnited States53¢ | $75 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | Buy39¢ | $8 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | Buy30¢ | $4 |
| 109d | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BuyUnited States53¢ | $77 |
| 109d | Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5 | BuyOver83¢ | $99 |
| 109d | Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver79¢ | $103 |
| 110d | Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | Buy27¢ | $5 |
| 110d | Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: England (-1.5) | Sell84¢ | $23 |
| 110d | Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $37 |
| 110d | Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $112 |
| 110d | Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver67¢ | $25 |
| 110d | Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5 | BuyOver89¢ | $100 |
| 110d | Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: England (-1.5) | Buy47¢ | $13 |
| 110d | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Sell99¢ | $37 |
| 110d | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $136 |
| 110d | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver50¢ | $9 |
| 110d | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver70¢ | $40 |
| 110d | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver82¢ | $50 |
| 110d | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Buy52¢ | $20 |
| 111d | Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver68¢ | $44 |
| 112d | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $114 |
| 112d | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver83¢ | $95 |
| 112d | Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $45 |
| 112d | Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | BuyOver84¢ | $38 |
| 114d | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver12¢ | $4 |
| 114d | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5 | SellUnder87¢ | $44 |
| 114d | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder89¢ | $45 |
| 114d | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | BuyYes20¢ | $4 |
| 114d | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | SellYes97¢ | $89 |
| 114d | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BuyYes24¢ | $23 |
| 114d | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | SellSenegal36¢ | $23 |
| 115d | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BuySenegal40¢ | $26 |
| 115d | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | SellYes>99¢ | $11 |
| 115d | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BuyYes44¢ | $5 |
| 115d | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | Buy10¢ | $6 |
| 115d | Spread: France (-2.5) | BuySweden68¢ | $9 |
| 115d | France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | BuyYes42¢ | $6 |
| 115d | Spread: France (-1.5) | BuySweden57¢ | $17 |
| 128d | Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | BuyYes50¢ | $9 |
| 129d | Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver52¢ | $12 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.