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Polymarket wallet 0xbca6c254125885897dae2809edec45e7bc747f7c · on Polymarket since Nov 28, 2025 · also shown as Untimely-Trout
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$7 −46% |
| Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena MalyginaSettled - ready to redeem | Elena Malygina | 50 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Cary: William Manning vs Michael MmohSettled - ready to redeem | Michael Mmoh | 90 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis CardinalsSettled - ready to redeem | Atlanta Braves | 50 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Giants vs. PatriotsSettled - ready to redeem | Giants | 2,800 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.