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Polymarket wallet 0xbd26c3390eb5974d247c9fc10d32502b1f195ba1 · on Polymarket since Oct 17, 2025 · also shown as Unsteady-Bench
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,658 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$829 −100% |
| Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on March 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,389 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$695 −100% |
| Will Wells Fargo say "Delinquency" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,475 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$738 −100% |
| Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,682 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$841 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 225d | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 12? | BuyDown11¢ | $2 |
| 225d | Meta (META) Up or Down on March 12? | BuyUp40¢ | $6 |
| 263d | NYA (NYA) Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp30¢ | $4 |
| 263d | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown37¢ | $6 |
| 263d | Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | SellYes27¢ | $4 |
| 282d | Will Wells Fargo say "Delinquency" during earnings call? | BuyNo45¢ | $9 |
| 282d | Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | BuyYes44¢ | $7 |
| 322d | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 5? | BuyDown41¢ | $7 |
| 357d | Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 31? | BuyDown50¢ | $829 |
| 357d | Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 31? | BuyDown50¢ | $841 |
| 371d | XRP Up or Down - October 17, 12AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $700 |
| 371d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $695 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $738 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.