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Polymarket wallet 0xbdae87cffb6c3541801b03e7d94fe0b952ffaed5 · on Polymarket since Jan 2, 2025 · also shown as Smart-Incarnation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +163% |
| Will BTS announce a new world tour in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +30% |
| Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 100¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 659d | Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 659d | Supreme Court vacancy in 2025? | BuyNo77¢ | $1 |
| 659d | Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July? | BuyYes22¢ | $1 |
| 659d | Tom Holland and Zendaya engaged in 2025? | BuyYes38¢ | $1 |
| 659d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | SellYes99¢ | $6,762 |
| 659d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | SellYes99¢ | $7,425 |
| 659d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | SellYes99¢ | $8,910 |
| 659d | Will BTS announce a new world tour in 2025? | BuyYes88¢ | $1 |
| 659d | Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery? | BuyNo100¢ | $1 |
| 659d | Will BTS announce a new world tour in 2025? | BuyYes88¢ | $1 |
| 659d | Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? | BuyYes74¢ | $1 |
| 659d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyYes99¢ | $4,985 |
| 659d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyYes99¢ | $9,130 |
| 659d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyYes99¢ | $9,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.