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Polymarket wallet 0xbf1d5d736931bb93123233dff3b8e9820048e0ad · on Polymarket since Jan 17, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,578 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,003 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$679 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,083 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,111 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,141 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,985 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24,138 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$319 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,925 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$472 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,436 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BuyYes19¢ | $1,091 |
| 215d | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BuyYes18¢ | $50 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $170 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $52 |
| 255d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $319 |
| 261d | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $472 |
| 261d | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 266d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $571 |
| 267d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $108 |
| 271d | US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $41 |
| 279d | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $170 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.