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Polymarket wallet 0xbfb789a15cd30feda607afbaea2da30c26fc47ad · on Polymarket since Nov 12, 2025 · also shown as Firm-Geography
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116d | Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? | BuyYes91¢ | $20 |
| 225d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BuyYes76¢ | $16 |
| 332d | Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025? | BuyYes18¢ | $12 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.